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Qual 12010 Philadelphia Regional
Red7
7091.3
4841.9
2231.3
Blue3
4231.2
21990.5
14950.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions410268101273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
484
#18
1.90.2
1.6→1.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
423
#26
1.20.1
0.5→0.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
709
#16
1.30.2
0.6→0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
1495
#21
0.60.1
0.5→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
223
#22
1.30.3
1.1→1.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.7
2199
#37
0.50.1
0.3→0.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—