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Red0
1280.4
12491.2
17080.4
Blue5
22520.7
26141.4
17430.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567805

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1249
#15
1.20.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2614
#24
1.40.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
128
#22
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2252
#26
0.70.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1708
#12
0.40.1
-0.1-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1743
#13
0.60.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End