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Red3
30621.6
25440.8
20511.6
Blue8
3061.1
26560.6
11145.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.0
5.70.4
2.83.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3062
#14
1.60.1
1.41.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
306
#17
1.10.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2544
#20
0.80.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2656
#25
0.60.4
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End