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Red5
12491.2
20511.6
17430.6
Blue3
10381.5
632.9
26030.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.60.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
63
#2
2.90.0
2.22.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1249
#15
1.20.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1.50.0
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1743
#13
0.60.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2603
#28
0.10.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End