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Red2
1170.1
31930.4
12792.7
Blue0
28091.7
22520.7
25440.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330122334420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.70.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1.70.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3193
#18
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2544
#20
0.80.2
0.70.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
117
#30
0.10.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2252
#26
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End