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Red1
28521.2
3401.4
3780.9
Blue3
5780.4
23400.3
15512.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567813

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#18
1.40.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2.50.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2852
#10
1.20.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
578
#21
0.40.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
378
#17
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2340
#29
0.30.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End