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Red3
20531.0
15590.9
12411.8
Blue1
6101.1
2290.4
30030.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23046810121431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#12
1.80.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
610
#16
1.10.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2053
#13
1.00.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3003
#41
0.90.1
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.90.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
229
#14
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End