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Red5
12411.8
31571.7
1912.2
Blue3
15910.9
22280.5
3780.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#20
2.20.2
1.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
378
#17
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1241
#12
1.80.2
1.01.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1591
#23
0.90.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.71.0
1.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
2228
#30
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End