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Red2
16400.3
6101.1
30150.8
Blue1
2173.9
31810.5
3160.5
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1302468101221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#16
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
217
#4
3.90.2
2.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3015
#40
0.80.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3181
#31
0.50.2
0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#37
0.30.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
316
#39
0.50.2
0.90.7
Auto
Teleop
End