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Red1
30030.9
31810.5
2110.4
Blue0
2910.9
15180.4
15512.5
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions0426810121410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#41
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
2.50.3
1.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3181
#31
0.50.0
-0.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
291
#15
0.90.3
1.00.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
211
#36
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1518
#32
0.40.3
0.90.6
Auto
Teleop
End