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Red1
31731.3
17650.2
12411.8
Blue3
31620.4
3160.5
11261.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1241
#12
1.80.2
1.61.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1126
#19
1.30.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.30.2
1.51.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
316
#39
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
#38
0.20.2
0.90.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3162
#26
0.40.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End