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Red2
31810.6
5780.5
15511.8
Blue0
11260.8
30150.8
3791.4
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34010152020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1551
Unranked
1.80.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
379
Unranked
1.40.2
2.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3181
Unranked
0.60.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3015
Unranked
0.80.2
1.10.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
Unranked
0.50.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1126
Unranked
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End