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Red1
6391.4
17960.5
2290.7
Blue7
480.9
31571.3
23400.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320468101217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
Unranked
1.40.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3157
Unranked
1.30.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
229
Unranked
0.70.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
48
Unranked
0.90.2
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1796
Unranked
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2340
Unranked
0.50.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End