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Red1
3401.1
15180.1
23400.5
Blue2
2290.7
30150.8
1405-0.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120510152012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
Unranked
1.10.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3015
Unranked
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2340
Unranked
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
229
Unranked
0.70.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
Unranked
0.10.0
-0.1-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1405
Unranked
-0.10.0
-0.00.0
Auto
Teleop
End