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Red2
31731.1
1911.3
11260.8
Blue1
5780.5
17960.5
31571.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320468101221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
Unranked
1.30.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3157
Unranked
1.30.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3173
Unranked
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
578
Unranked
0.50.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1126
Unranked
0.80.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1796
Unranked
0.50.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End