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Red4
21222.6
32961.1
22040.7
Blue0
8410.6
28920.8
16781.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.60.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1678
#11
1.40.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3296
#34
1.10.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2892
#27
0.80.1
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2204
#21
0.70.2
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
841
#14
0.60.1
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End