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Red1
6750.8
13232.1
30130.2
Blue2
18341.4
7510.4
23900.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1834
#31
1.40.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
675
#30
0.80.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
751
#13
0.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3013
#32
0.20.1
-0.0-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2390
#36
0.20.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End