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Red2
21222.6
32500.5
10720.9
Blue3
12803.0
15160.9
21560.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2506810121423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.60.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3.00.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1072
#24
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1516
#12
0.90.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3250
#20
0.50.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2156
#22
0.90.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End