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Red3
14581.4
22040.7
18341.4
Blue0
20731.2
32570.9
16621.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567830

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
#23
1.40.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1662
#18
1.30.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1834
#31
1.40.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2073
#17
1.20.3
1.71.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2204
#21
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3257
#16
0.90.3
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End