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Red5
21411.6
25510.9
24731.6
Blue3
20851.0
6043.1
27611.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402681012141653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2473
#10
1.60.1
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
604
#1
3.10.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.60.1
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2085
#33
1.00.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2551
#15
0.90.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2761
#38
1.00.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End