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Red2
31890.0
13232.1
13511.1
Blue1
8140.5
8521.8
6750.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330246821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
852
#8
1.80.1
1.31.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
675
#30
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3189
#29
0.00.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
814
#28
0.50.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End