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Red3
23900.2
8521.8
28920.8
Blue7
16621.3
21560.9
25510.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456737

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#8
1.80.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1662
#18
1.30.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2892
#27
0.80.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2551
#15
0.90.4
1.21.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2390
#36
0.20.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2156
#22
0.90.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End