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Red6
21222.6
32570.9
8140.5
Blue1
30450.1
6920.9
20851.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2201345661

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.60.2
1.31.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2085
#33
1.00.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3257
#16
0.90.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
692
#25
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
814
#28
0.50.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3045
#37
0.10.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End