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Red1
15390.4
21210.5
12871.4
Blue2
3371.8
3432.4
30251.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1502468101212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1287
#21
1.40.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
343
#1
2.40.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2121
#23
0.50.0
-0.0-0.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
337
#8
1.80.1
1.21.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1539
#32
0.40.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3025
#25
1.20.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End