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Red3
12251.4
8041.3
28151.7
Blue0
33710.5
21870.8
32701.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11024681030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3270
#10
1.10.9
1.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.40.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2187
#13
0.80.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
804
#12
1.30.1
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3371
#16
0.50.3
0.50.2
Auto
Teleop
End