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Red3
2811.8
19590.7
13190.8
Blue8
17722.0
8041.3
13791.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
281
#4
1.80.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2.00.5
0.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1319
#30
0.80.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.50.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1959
#14
0.70.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
804
#12
1.30.5
0.51.0
Auto
Teleop
End