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Red1
24300.5
10260.2
9451.6
Blue2
28151.7
21210.5
21870.8
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310246812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
945
#15
1.60.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1.70.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2430
#28
0.50.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2187
#13
0.80.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1026
#29
0.20.1
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2121
#23
0.50.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End