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Red4
1920.9
28390.7
23390.4
Blue0
21020.1
15721.2
11380.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#26
0.90.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1572
#10
1.20.2
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2839
#24
0.70.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1138
#13
0.80.2
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2339
#38
0.40.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2102
#39
0.10.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End