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Red4
19720.4
8150.2
6871.9
Blue1
13320.9
11971.1
33410.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22012345641

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
1.90.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1197
#25
1.10.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1972
#21
0.40.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
0.90.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#47
0.20.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3341
#43
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End