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Red8
5680.6
1151.0
6871.9
Blue2
2941.3
6680.9
26580.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions220134567882

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#3
1.90.5
0.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
294
#33
1.30.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
115
#34
1.00.5
0.71.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
668
#30
0.90.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
568
#29
0.60.5
0.10.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2658
#14
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End