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Red4
16221.0
31950.2
28270.4
Blue5
10700.9
8120.7
25431.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2103456745

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#22
1.00.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.80.3
0.71.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2827
#37
0.40.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1070
#19
0.90.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3195
#36
0.20.2
0.30.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
812
#7
0.70.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End