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Red2
32550.4
6910.7
23390.4
Blue0
33410.4
31280.0
26580.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21024681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
691
#11
0.70.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2658
#14
0.40.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3255
#44
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3341
#43
0.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2339
#38
0.40.0
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3128
#45
0.00.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End