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Red4
15382.0
3591.9
31950.2
Blue2
12661.3
28270.4
2941.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
294
#33
1.30.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
359
#4
1.90.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1.30.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3195
#36
0.20.3
0.20.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2827
#37
0.40.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End