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Red10
1484.8
1182.5
6470.8
Blue8
7043.1
31030.9
6242.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions872410121416108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
4.80.0
4.84.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
704
#4
3.10.0
3.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
#2
2.50.0
2.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
624
#3
2.80.0
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
647
#59
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3103
#31
0.90.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End