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Red4
6470.8
1182.5
1484.8
Blue3
31030.9
6242.8
7043.1
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions972461012141643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
4.80.1
4.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
704
#4
3.10.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
118
#2
2.50.1
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
624
#3
2.80.1
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
647
#59
0.80.1
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3103
#31
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End