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Red9
28811.4
14771.6
1182.5
Blue3
29520.6
25831.0
29361.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41068101293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#2
2.50.3
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2936
#30
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.60.3
1.11.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2583
#18
1.00.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
#13
1.40.5
0.61.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2952
#41
0.60.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End