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Red2
30160.2
29660.2
18980.2
Blue4
25871.6
4180.8
22760.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1203456724

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2966
#66
0.20.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2587
#20
1.60.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3016
#37
0.20.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
418
#19
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1898
#49
0.20.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2276
#46
0.50.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End