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Red1
29560.7
4411.0
25820.3
Blue5
27210.7
30280.6
1182.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
441
#6
1.00.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
118
#2
2.50.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2956
#45
0.70.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2721
#11
0.70.2
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2582
#43
0.30.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3028
#40
0.60.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End