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Red0
30800.1
24681.1
9220.6
Blue1
28330.5
14800.6
30290.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22013456701

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#16
1.10.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1480
#12
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
922
#38
0.60.1
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3029
#24
0.50.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3080
#42
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2833
#53
0.50.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End