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Red4
18011.1
25831.0
29790.8
Blue2
21580.8
25850.9
6242.8
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1502468101242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1801
#22
1.10.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
624
#3
2.80.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2583
#18
1.00.2
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2585
#39
0.90.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2979
#23
0.80.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2158
#15
0.80.2
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End