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Red4
18652.4
33630.4
33050.7
Blue1
28800.8
30160.2
33250.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204681041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.1
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
2880
#29
0.80.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3305
#17
0.70.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3325
#58
0.80.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3363
#36
0.40.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3016
#37
0.20.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End