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Red0
32510.6
24840.9
32300.9
Blue1
32890.7
15660.9
15691.2
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567801

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1569
#22
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3230
#15
0.90.1
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3251
#12
0.60.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3289
#16
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End