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Red4
16962.1
21221.1
34050.3
Blue3
11581.4
18910.9
33740.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340124567843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.10.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
1.40.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3374
#27
0.90.0
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3405
#26
0.30.0
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1891
#20
0.90.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End