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Red3
24840.9
32510.6
32300.9
Blue8
15660.9
15691.2
32890.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2301234567838

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1569
#22
1.20.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3230
#15
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
0.90.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3251
#12
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3289
#16
0.70.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End