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Red1
32070.5
30061.1
32510.6
Blue0
32390.8
32890.7
34050.3
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21034567810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3239
#13
0.80.6
0.80.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3251
#12
0.60.4
0.60.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3289
#16
0.70.5
0.70.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3207
#18
0.50.9
1.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3405
#26
0.30.3
0.60.2
Auto
Teleop
End