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Red1
32430.4
18910.9
32161.2
Blue2
3253-0.1
16962.1
32300.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11023456712

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.9
1.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2.10.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1891
#20
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3230
#15
0.91.6
2.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3243
#31
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3253
#33
-0.10.5
-0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End