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Red2
29930.9
5850.7
5970.7
Blue0
25940.5
21221.1
33260.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210134567820

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2993
#11
0.90.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1.10.1
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
597
#28
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3326
#30
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
585
#25
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2594
#19
0.50.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End