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Red5
21221.1
7532.6
15660.9
Blue3
15382.1
22261.3
5970.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55024681053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#2
2.60.0
2.62.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
2.10.1
2.52.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2226
#10
1.30.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
0.90.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
597
#28
0.70.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End