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Red4
12580.5
20462.0
24711.9
Blue5
29101.6
13590.2
30700.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.00.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2471
#18
1.90.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3070
#11
0.90.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1258
#43
0.50.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1359
#36
0.20.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End