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Red0
25170.5
33900.0
13181.1
Blue3
29040.2
29280.4
30700.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210234567803

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.10.2
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
3070
#11
0.90.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2517
#64
0.50.2
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2928
#27
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3390
#26
0.00.2
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2904
#50
0.20.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End